1

Kody B

3yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 4 · OR 70

Newcastle · Midnite Built Different Handicap · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won at this course over 7f on his all-weather debut at the start of this month but not in same form at Southwell last time, hanging and looking a hard ride. Now drops down in trip and needs to bounce back.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength48%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Pontefract 20/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 74 · 6f Sft 133 · beat its mark20/10/2025 · OR 74 par20/105OR 744 @ Newmarket 14/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 81 · 7f Gd 136 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/04/2026 · OR 81 par4 @ Hamilton 17/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 79 · 6f6y Gd 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 79 par17/054OR 794 @ Chester 11/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 77 · 6f17y Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 77 par4 @ Catterick 15/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 77 · 5f212y GF 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 77 par15/074OR 774 @ Carlisle 27/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 73 · 5f182y Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 73 par5 @ Thirsk 14/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 70 · 7f Gd 135 · beat its mark14/09/2026 · OR 70 par14/095OR 705 @ Newcastle 01/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 67 · 7f14y Std 133 · beat its mark01/10/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Southwell 17/10/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 70 · 7f15y Std 136 · below its mark17/10/2026 · OR 70 par17/105OR 70projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-17SouthwellShane Gray58th8th0
2026-10-01NewcastleShane Gray51st1st0
2026-09-14ThirskJoanna Mason57th7th0
2026-08-27CarlisleP J McDonald46th5th+1
2026-07-15CatterickT Eaves46th5th+1
2026-07-11ChesterD Allan45th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/1011/0714/0917/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 3-9 · tight 52/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength29%

Delivery trend -5.7% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/10/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
14/04/202612th25/10%8%+0.08
17/05/20264th40/10%77%+0.77
11/07/20265th12/137%20%-0.17
15/07/20266th33/10%29%+0.29
27/08/20266th16/116%17%+0.01
14/09/20267th12/137%33%-0.04
01/10/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
17/10/20268th5/174%13%-0.61