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9

Liquid Cooled

3yo Gelding · 8-4 · Draw 8 · OR 49

Newcastle · Midnite Built Different Handicap · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner who also ran respectably when third of 7 here in September, doing best work late. Unsuited by drop to 5f last time and not one to write off back up to 6f even though he's just out of the handicap.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength23%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newcastle 09/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 5f Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS9/1245 @ Newcastle 19/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 6f Std 1336 @ Newcastle 11/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 49 · 6f Std 132 · beat its mark11/03/2026 · OR 49 par11/036OR 496 @ Pontefract 07/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 54 · 6f GS 129 · beat its mark07/04/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Wetherby 26/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 54 · 1m Goo 134 · beat its mark26/04/2026 · OR 54 par26/046OR 545 @ Nottingham 17/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 53 · 6f18y Goo 118 · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 53 par6 @ Thirsk 07/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 52 · 6f Goo 122 · beat its mark07/08/2026 · OR 52 par7/086OR 526 @ Newcastle 03/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 50 · 6f Std 130 · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Newcastle 20/10/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 49 · 5f Std 129 · beat its mark20/10/2026 · OR 49 par20/106OR 49projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-20NewcastleA Mullen610th11th−1
2026-09-03NewcastleA Mullen63rd4th−1
2026-08-07ThirskHarry Vigors66th7th−1
2026-07-17NottinghamA Mullen55th5th0
2026-04-26WetherbyA Mullen63rd4th−1
2026-04-07PontefractA Mullen64th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/127/047/0820/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 7-9 · tight 80/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -4.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/12/20257th25/10%0%0.00
19/12/202511th80/10%17%+0.17
11/03/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
07/04/20264th7/282%77%-0.05
26/04/20263rd11/486%71%-0.14
17/07/20265th12/137%33%-0.04
07/08/20266th18/15%44%+0.39
03/09/20263rd9/276%67%-0.10
20/10/202610th17/255%0%-0.55