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6

Tactical Blitz

3yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 6 · OR 65

Newcastle · Midnite Built Different Handicap · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Off the mark over C&D in March but not kicked on since and was only sixth of 14 in first-time blinkers in a handicap over 7f here 10 days ago. Now drops back in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Lingfield 12/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 6f1y Std 126 · HIGHER CLASS12/0144 @ Southwell 22/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 6f16y Std 126 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Newcastle 05/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 69 · 6f Std 134 · beat its mark05/03/2026 · OR 69 par5/035OR 695 @ Wolverhampton 10/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 72 · 7f36y Std 132 · beat its mark10/04/2026 · OR 72 par5 @ Lingfield 27/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 72 · 7f1y Std 132 · beat its mark27/04/2026 · OR 72 par27/045OR 725 @ Chester 12/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 72 · 6f17y Sft 132 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 72 par5 @ Southwell 03/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 70 · 7f15y Std 130 · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 70 par3/095OR 705 @ Southwell 24/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 68 · 7f15y Std 134 · below its mark24/09/2026 · OR 68 par6 @ Newcastle 20/10/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 65 · 7f14y Std 135 · beat its mark20/10/2026 · OR 65 par20/106OR 65projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-20NewcastleL Morris66th7th−1
2026-09-24SouthwellBilly Garritty58th8th0
2026-09-03SouthwellD Tudhope57th7th0
2026-06-12ChesterJason Watson58th8th0
2026-04-27LingfieldHollie Doyle58th8th0
2026-04-10WolverhamptonHollie Doyle53rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0110/043/0920/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength95%

Delivery trend +5.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/01/20264th17/255%40%-0.15
22/01/20262nd4/179%91%+0.12
05/03/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
10/04/20263rd11/486%67%-0.19
27/04/20268th5/174%30%-0.44
12/06/20268th40/10%0%0.00
03/09/20267th50/10%25%+0.25
24/09/20268th28/10%13%+0.13
20/10/20266th28/10%62%+0.62