7

Try Storm Cat

3yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 9 · OR 64

Newcastle · Midnite Built Different Handicap · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★ Timeform

Commentary

Gone the wrong way since finishing runner-up on all-weather at Kempton on reappearance. Off 4 months prior to finishing down the field at Leicester last time so needs to strip a lot fitter for that effort back on all-weather.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength56%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Pontefract 30/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 6f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS30/0642 @ Goodwood 01/08/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 81 · 6f Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/08/2025 · OR 81 par4 @ Kempton 14/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 80 · 1m Sta 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/01/2026 · OR 80 par14/014OR 804 @ Lingfield 29/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 78 · 1m1y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/01/2026 · OR 78 par4 @ Newmarket 14/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 76 · 7f Gd 131 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/04/2026 · OR 76 par14/044OR 764 @ Newmarket 02/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 74 · 7f GF 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 74 par4 @ York 23/05/2026 · Pos 18th of 20 · OR 72 · 7f Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 72 par23/054OR 725 @ Chester 12/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 69 · 6f17y Sft 129 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Leicester 13/10/2026 · Pos 12th of 18 · OR 67 · 6f GS 134 · beat its mark13/10/2026 · OR 67 par13/105OR 67projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-13LeicesterGeorge Wood512th12th0
2026-06-12ChesterCieren Fallon54th4th0
2026-05-23YorkA Mullen418th17th+1
2026-05-02NewmarketGeorge Wood48th7th+1
2026-04-14NewmarketLewis Edmunds411th10th+1
2026-01-29LingfieldJ Mitchell46th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0629/0123/0513/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength76%

Delivery trend +9.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/06/20251st10/1195%100%+0.05
01/08/202510th11/142%10%-0.32
14/01/20262nd9/488%67%-0.21
29/01/20266th8/158%0%-0.58
14/04/202611th33/10%17%+0.17
02/05/20268th33/10%30%+0.30
23/05/202618th80/10%11%+0.11
12/06/20264th28/10%57%+0.57
13/10/202612th66/10%35%+0.35