Adrestia
4yo Filly · 9-9 · Draw 1 · OR 95
Newcastle · Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap · 5f
#12
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Ascot | Harry Davies | 2 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-09-13 | Doncaster | Oisin Murphy | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Goodwood | Oisin Murphy | 2 | 17th | 16th | +1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Ascot | Colin Keane | 2 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Redcar | Josephine Gordon | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Windsor | Tom Marquand | 2 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 95% | +0.18 |
| 30/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 21/09/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 62% | -0.12 |
| 18/05/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 20/06/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.40 |
| 11/07/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 28/07/2026 | 17th | 9/1 | 53% | 27% | -0.25 |
| 13/09/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 93% | +0.33 |
| 03/10/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 55% | +0.02 |