Forager
4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 11 · OR 84
Newcastle · Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap · 5f
#10
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Leicester | J Mitchell | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-09-29 | Bath | J Mitchell | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-09-03 | Lingfield | J Mitchell | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-08-11 | Nottingham | David Probert | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Goodwood | P Cosgrave | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-04 | Lingfield | J Mitchell | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/2025 | 19th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 13/09/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 14/10/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 04/11/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 22/05/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 11/08/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 03/09/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 29/09/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 06/10/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 70% | +0.04 |