10

Sir Yoshi

4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 10 · OR 83

Newcastle · Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap · 5f

#9

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sole win came in Tipperary maiden in 2024 and form has been patchy in recent starts.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength59%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ York 13/05/2026 · Pos 18th of 22 · OR 99 · 6f Gd 134 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/05/2026 · OR 99 par13/052OR 992 @ Thirsk 31/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 95 · 6f Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/05/2026 · OR 95 par2 @ Newcastle 26/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 92 · 5f Sta 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/06/2026 · OR 92 par26/062OR 923 @ Pontefract 17/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 90 · 5f3y Goo 136 · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 90 par2 @ Ascot 25/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 90 · 5f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 90 par25/072OR 903 @ Hamilton 21/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 89 · 5f7y GS 139 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 89 par3 @ Beverley 29/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 87 · 5f Sft 132 · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 87 par29/083OR 873 @ Hamilton 21/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 86 · 5f7y Sft 133 · beat its mark21/09/2026 · OR 86 par2 @ Catterick 17/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 85 · 5f Goo 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/10/2026 · OR 85 par17/102OR 85projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-17CatterickS H James25th4th+1
2026-09-21HamiltonJake Dickson33rd3rd0
2026-08-29BeverleyD Nolan38th8th0
2026-08-21HamiltonD Nolan34th4th0
2026-07-25AscotS De Sousa29th8th+1
2026-07-17PontefractS De Sousa33rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0517/0729/0817/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 8-12 · tight 74/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength2%

Delivery trend -3.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/05/202618th80/10%19%+0.19
31/05/20269th40/10%38%+0.38
26/06/20269th28/10%38%+0.38
17/07/20263rd11/271%67%-0.04
25/07/20269th14/126%33%+0.07
21/08/20264th11/142%70%+0.28
29/08/20268th6/168%13%-0.56
21/09/20263rd17/255%60%+0.05
17/10/20265th14/126%64%+0.37