Tatterstall
6yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 5 · OR 92
Newcastle · Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap · 5f
#8
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 6.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Lingfield | Connor Beasley | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Goodwood | Connor Beasley | 2 | 18th | 17th | +1 |
| 2026-07-10 | Newmarket | Connor Beasley | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Hamilton | Connor Beasley | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Thirsk | Connor Beasley | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-28 | Southwell | Connor Beasley | 2 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/2024 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 29/08/2024 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 20/08/2025 | 16th | 40/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 28/08/2025 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 31% | -0.22 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |
| 25/06/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |
| 10/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 64% | +0.03 |
| 28/07/2026 | 18th | 18/1 | 5% | 23% | +0.17 |
| 12/09/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |