1
Massimo Blue
4yo Gelding · 10-0 · Draw 9 · OR 70
Newcastle · Make The Move To Midnite Handicap · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
7/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
5lbsClass Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength47%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Southwell | Billy Loughnane | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-26 | Southwell | Jack Callan | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-16 | Yarmouth | Billy Loughnane | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-27 | Southwell | Billy Loughnane | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Southwell | K S McHugh | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Wolverhampton | Jack Callan | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 61/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength85%
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/01/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 43% | -0.26 |
| 23/06/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 64% | +0.06 |
| 02/07/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 21/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 16/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 27/08/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 16/09/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 73% | -0.15 |
| 26/09/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 58% | -0.29 |
| 19/10/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |