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7

Clasina

5yo Mare · 9-7 · Draw 11 · OR 58

Newcastle · AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 14y

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won at Yarmouth on stable debut in 2025. Struggled on next 3 outings but back to form out of the blue to get up near finish and deny Lanarra over C&D 14 days ago. Needs to prove she can back that up now.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength38%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Catterick 10/06/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 58 · 7f6y Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/06/2025 · OR 58 par10/065OR 586 @ Musselburgh 01/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 59 · 7f15y Gd 135 · beat its mark01/07/2025 · OR 59 par6 @ Ayr 14/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 58 · 7f50y Goo 140 · beat its mark14/07/2025 · OR 58 par14/076OR 586 @ Ayr 21/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 58 · 7f50y Goo 138 · beat its mark21/07/2025 · OR 58 par6 @ Yarmouth 24/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 57 · 7f3y Goo 132 · beat its mark24/08/2025 · OR 57 par24/086OR 575 @ Newmarket 19/06/2026 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR 62 · 6f Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 62 par6 @ Doncaster 18/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 60 · 7f213y GF 135 · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 60 par18/076OR 606 @ Leicester 21/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 58 · 7f Goo 136 · beat its mark21/09/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Newcastle 16/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 55 · 7f14y Std 135 · beat its mark16/10/2026 · OR 55 par16/106OR 55projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-16NewcastleGina Mangan61st1st0
2026-09-21LeicesterMolly Keegan-Price610th10th0
2026-07-18DoncasterFaye McManoman69th9th0
2026-06-19NewmarketLaura Pearson515th14th+1
2025-08-24YarmouthGina Mangan61st1st0
2025-07-21AyrCallum Rodriguez63rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0621/0718/0716/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 82/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength95%

Delivery trend +10.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/06/20258th4/179%46%-0.33
01/07/20255th11/486%56%-0.30
14/07/20253rd7/491%71%-0.19
21/07/20253rd9/276%78%+0.01
24/08/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
19/06/202615th25/10%7%+0.07
18/07/20269th14/126%20%-0.06
21/09/202610th20/10%31%+0.31
16/10/20261st12/137%100%+0.63