Taradif
3yo Gelding · 9-11 · Draw 2 · OR 64
Newcastle · AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 14y
#11
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 6.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Nottingham | S M Levey | 5 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-08-31 | Southwell | S M Levey | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Doncaster | S M Levey | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Wolverhampton | Lewis Edmunds | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-02-19 | Chantilly | L Plommee | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-29 | Deauville | L Plommee | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +12.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 18/08/2025 | 8th | 5/4 | 93% | 22% | -0.71 |
| 29/01/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 56% | -0.05 |
| 19/02/2026 | 8th | 2/1 | 89% | 30% | -0.59 |
| 28/06/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 31/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 01/10/2026 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |