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Tomorrow Day

5yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 9 · OR 53

Newcastle · AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 14y

#1

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

77%

Place Prob

54%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

All 6 career wins have come at this track, the latest over 6f at the beginning of September. Only 2 lb higher and capable of another bold bid.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength38%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newcastle 11/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 63 · 7f14y Std 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/09/2025 · OR 63 par11/095OR 636 @ Wolverhampton 20/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 62 · 6f20y Std 137 · beat its mark20/09/2025 · OR 62 par5 @ Southwell 03/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 60 · 6f16y Std 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/10/2025 · OR 60 par3/105OR 606 @ Wolverhampton 11/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 58 · 6f20y Std 131 · below its mark11/10/2025 · OR 58 par5 @ Newcastle 21/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 55 · 6f Std 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/10/2025 · OR 55 par21/105OR 556 @ Kempton 05/11/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 52 · 6f Sta 127 · below its mark05/11/2025 · OR 52 par6 @ Chelmsford City 21/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 48 · 7f Std 125 · beat its mark21/02/2026 · OR 48 par21/026OR 486 @ Newcastle 11/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 50 · 6f Std 130 · beat its mark11/03/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Newcastle 03/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 51 · 6f Std 134 · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 51 par3/096OR 51projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03NewcastleConnor Beasley61st1st0
2026-03-11NewcastleJason Hart62nd2nd0
2026-02-21Chelmsford CityTom Kiely-Marshall62nd2nd0
2025-11-05KemptonFinley Marsh612th12th0
2025-10-21NewcastleP J McDonald55th4th+1
2025-10-11WolverhamptonCharlie Bennett68th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0911/1021/023/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 27/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength52%

Delivery trend +2.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/09/20256th9/153%38%-0.15
20/09/20257th11/142%45%+0.03
03/10/202510th80/10%25%+0.25
11/10/20258th20/10%0%0.00
21/10/20255th20/10%43%+0.43
05/11/202512th11/142%0%-0.42
21/02/20262nd66/10%88%+0.88
11/03/20262nd5/493%83%-0.10
03/09/20261st3/184%100%+0.16