Viviana
3yo Filly · 9-9 · Draw 4 · OR 62
Newcastle · AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 14y
#9
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Redcar | J Mitchell | 5 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-09-02 | Kempton | Oliver Carmichael | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-19 | Kempton | Billy Loughnane | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-11 | Carlisle | O J Orr | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Beverley | P J McDonald | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-22 | Musselburgh | Jason Hart | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 13/05/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 04/06/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 22/06/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 14/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 11/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 19/08/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 02/09/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 15/09/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |