1

Yaajooz

5yo Gelding · 10-5 · Draw 3 · OR 65

Newcastle · AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 14y

#3

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform
5lbs

Commentary

Snapped a losing sequence in 14-runner race over C&D 19 days ago. Not obviously well treated under a 5-lb penalty (new mark 2 lb lower) but he has a bit of class for this 0-65 level.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength56%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newcastle 19/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 73 · 7f14y Std 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/09/2025 · OR 73 par19/095OR 735 @ Newcastle 17/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 75 · 7f14y Std 138 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/10/2025 · OR 75 par4 @ Beverley 23/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 74 · 7f96y Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/04/2026 · OR 74 par23/044OR 745 @ Newcastle 19/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 73 · 7f14y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/05/2026 · OR 73 par4 @ Wetherby 04/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 71 · 7f Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 71 par4/064OR 715 @ Newcastle 05/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 68 · 7f14y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Wolverhampton 18/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 68 · 7f36y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/09/2026 · OR 68 par18/095OR 685 @ Catterick 30/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 67 · 7f6y Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/09/2026 · OR 67 par6 @ Newcastle 20/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 65 · 7f14y Std 137 · beat its mark20/10/2026 · OR 65 par20/106OR 65projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-20NewcastleC Lee61st1st0
2026-09-30CatterickJoanna Mason58th7th+1
2026-09-18WolverhamptonR P Downey56th5th+1
2026-09-05NewcastleR P Downey53rd2nd+1
2026-06-04WetherbyLewis Chalkley412th10th+2
2026-05-19NewcastleLewis Chalkley59th8th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0919/0518/0920/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 72/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength92%

Delivery trend +3.8% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/09/20252nd10/382%83%+0.01
17/10/20257th18/581%45%-0.36
23/04/20268th7/163%22%-0.41
19/05/20269th11/142%11%-0.31
04/06/202612th20/10%15%+0.15
05/09/20263rd9/276%71%-0.05
18/09/20266th17/255%55%-0.01
30/09/20268th9/153%13%-0.40
20/10/20261st13/266%100%+0.34