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2

Starliner

5yo Gelding · 10-0 · Draw 9 · OR 65

Newcastle · AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap (Div 2) · 7f 14y

#3

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner. Latest win over 1m here in September. Performed respectably when 3 lengths eighth of 12 at this course (1m) 10 days ago. Cheekpieces back on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength74%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Ayr 06/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 63 · 1m Gd 142 · below its mark06/07/2026 · OR 63 par6/076OR 636 @ Ayr 13/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 63 · 1m Goo 133 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 63 par5 @ Ayr 20/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 61 · 1m GF 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 61 par20/075OR 615 @ Hamilton 01/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 63 · 1m68y Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 63 par5 @ Doncaster 15/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 62 · 7f6y GF 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 62 par15/085OR 625 @ Newcastle 02/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 62 · 1m5y Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 62 par6 @ Newcastle 05/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 62 · 1m5y Std 132 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 62 par5/096OR 625 @ Ayr 17/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 65 · 1m Sft 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/09/2026 · OR 65 par5 @ Newcastle 20/10/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 65 · 1m5y Std 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/10/2026 · OR 65 par20/105OR 65projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-20NewcastleWilliam Pyle58th7th+1
2026-09-17AyrWilliam Pyle58th7th+1
2026-09-05NewcastleWilliam Pyle61st1st0
2026-09-02NewcastleWilliam Pyle52nd1st+1
2026-08-15DoncasterO McSweeney52nd1st+1
2026-08-01HamiltonKaiya Fraser56th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/071/085/0920/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength85%

Delivery trend -0.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/07/20268th10/147%22%-0.25
13/07/20262nd9/276%88%+0.11
20/07/20262nd11/142%88%+0.45
01/08/20266th7/163%44%-0.19
15/08/20262nd11/142%91%+0.49
02/09/20262nd10/147%90%+0.43
05/09/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
17/09/20268th11/142%42%-0.00
20/10/20268th15/261%36%-0.24