Wish This
4yo Gelding · 9-11 · Draw 10 · OR 62
Newcastle · AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap (Div 2) · 7f 14y
#8
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | Newcastle | Jake Dickson | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | Newcastle | T Eaves | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-31 | Newcastle | Alistair Rawlinson | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Southwell | William Pyle | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Hamilton | Sean Kirrane | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-18 | Carlisle | Ray Dawson | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 11/04/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 29% | +0.23 |
| 28/04/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 18/05/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 22% | +0.17 |
| 04/06/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 23/07/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 31/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 89% | +0.28 |
| 05/09/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 29% | -0.14 |
| 20/10/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 55% | -0.19 |