6
Wild Violet
3yo Filly · 9-4 · Draw 6 · OR 75
Newmarket · Newmarket Challenge Whip Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f
#1
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
84%
Place Prob
67%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Goodwood | Callum Shepherd | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Ripon | O J Orr | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Salisbury | H Crouch | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Wolverhampton | H Crouch | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Newmarket | H Crouch | 2 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 35/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength25%
Delivery trend -13.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 11/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 14/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 18/07/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 11/10/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |