5
Hierax
2yo Colt · 9-2 · Draw 4
Newmarket · German G1 Racecourses Thank World Pool British EBF Novice Stakes (C & G) (Div 1) · 7f
#10
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Sandown | H Crouch | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Newmarket | Cieren Fallon | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 11-11 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength8%
Delivery trend -14.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 16/09/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |