8
Mr Twig
2yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 10
Newmarket · German G1 Racecourses Thank World Pool British EBF Novice Stakes (C & G) (Div 1) · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
300/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 8.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Yarmouth | D Egan | 4 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-08-14 | Newmarket | Callum Shepherd | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 12-12 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -40.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 17/09/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |