IvyArcIvyArc
3

Dark Supremacy

2yo Colt · 9-2 · Draw 6 · OR 77

Newmarket · German G1 Racecourses Thank World Pool British EBF Novice Stakes (C & G) (Div 2) · 7f

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Knew more than on debut and showed lots of speed when third of 8 in novice at Kempton (1m) 25 days ago, leading until final 1f. Shaped as if a drop in trip will suit and he remains with potential.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Sandown 16/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m Goo 13316/0933 @ Kempton 05/10/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m Sta 1335/103projClass-projected finish: 1st of 1
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-05KemptonBenoit D L Sayette33rd3rd0
2026-09-16SandownBenoit D L Sayette34th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/095/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +14.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/09/20264th100/10%57%+0.57
05/10/20263rd28/10%71%+0.71