8

Native German

2yo Colt · 9-2 · Draw 2

Newmarket · German G1 Racecourses Thank World Pool British EBF Novice Stakes (C & G) (Div 2) · 7f

#9

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Offered something to work on making his first start when fourth of 8 in novice at Haydock 5 weeks ago, late headway having been slowly away. Open to improvement, though is bred for further in time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Haydock 25/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 6f212y Sft 12825/093
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-25HaydockCallum Rodriguez34th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 2-7 · tight 50/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength79%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/09/20264th6/168%57%-0.11