Azuinthejungle
4yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 7 · OR 80
Newmarket · 157 Grosser Preis Von Baden Handicap · 5f
#11
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Musselburgh | Alex Jary | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Newcastle | D Fentiman | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-20 | Newcastle | Alex Jary | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Thirsk | Alex Jary | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-28 | Beverley | Alex Jary | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Ayr | Alex Jary | 6 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 25% | -0.59 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.34 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 13/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 07/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 20/08/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 58% | -0.05 |
| 19/09/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 30/09/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 55% | +0.02 |