9
Never Just A Dream
6yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 5 · OR 78
Newmarket · 157 Grosser Preis Von Baden Handicap · 5f
#13
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength55%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | Doncaster | Ray Dawson | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Haydock | Callum Rodriguez | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Hamilton | Alistair Rawlinson | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Newmarket | Tom Marquand | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Newbury | Tom Marquand | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-31 | Southwell | K T O'Neill | 3 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 50/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength62%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 11th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/2024 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 28/06/2025 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 15/08/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |
| 31/10/2025 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 10/07/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 27% | +0.01 |
| 11/08/2026 | 11th | 9/1 | 53% | 9% | -0.44 |
| 04/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 85% | +0.32 |
| 23/10/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 70% | +0.15 |