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6

Rock Of England

6yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 12 · OR 80

Newmarket · 157 Grosser Preis Von Baden Handicap · 5f

#7

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Reliable sort who has won 4 times this season, the latest at Ripon in August. Has continued in good heart with placed efforts the last twice, beaten only by an improver at Pontefract 11 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength46%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Pontefract 29/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 66 · 5f3y Goo 127 · beat its mark29/04/2026 · OR 66 par29/045OR 665 @ Ripon 03/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 66 · 5f Gd 131 · beat its mark03/06/2026 · OR 66 par4 @ Ripon 06/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 72 · 5f Goo 132 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 72 par6/074OR 724 @ Hamilton 17/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 72 · 5f7y Goo 132 · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 72 par4 @ Thirsk 01/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 76 · 5f Goo 136 · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 76 par1/084OR 764 @ Thirsk 14/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 76 · 5f Goo 131 · beat its mark14/08/2026 · OR 76 par5 @ Ripon 31/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 75 · 5f Sft 140 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 75 par31/085OR 754 @ Doncaster 13/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 80 · 5f3y Gd 138 · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 80 par4 @ Pontefract 19/10/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 80 · 5f3y Hvy 131 · beat its mark19/10/2026 · OR 80 par19/104OR 80projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-19PontefractK Stott42nd2nd0
2026-09-13DoncasterOisin Murphy43rd3rd0
2026-08-31RiponOisin Murphy51st2nd−1
2026-08-14ThirskL Morris44th4th0
2026-08-01ThirskBilly Garritty44th4th0
2026-07-17HamiltonJason Hart41st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0417/0731/0819/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 6-10 · tight 75/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength43%

Delivery trend +2.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/04/20263rd7/282%71%-0.10
03/06/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
06/07/20262nd9/276%88%+0.11
17/07/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
01/08/20264th11/271%73%+0.02
14/08/20264th12/137%63%+0.26
31/08/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
13/09/20263rd9/276%78%+0.01
19/10/20262nd10/147%88%+0.40