2
Seven Questions
5yo Gelding · 9-10 · Draw 2 · OR 81
Newmarket · 157 Grosser Preis Von Baden Handicap · 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼1
Strength63%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Leicester | Billy Loughnane | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Yarmouth | J Mitchell | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-28 | Goodwood | J P Spencer | 2 | 21th | 19th | +2 |
| 2026-06-26 | Newcastle | L Morris | 2 | 12th | 10th | +2 |
| 2026-06-07 | Goodwood | J P Spencer | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Goodwood | J P Spencer | 3 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 8-13 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 25/04/2026 | 6th | 15/8 | 90% | 29% | -0.62 |
| 07/05/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 07/06/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 26/06/2026 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 15% | +0.10 |
| 28/07/2026 | 21st | 18/1 | 5% | 9% | +0.04 |
| 30/08/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 06/10/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 30% | +0.04 |