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6

Fillipas

2yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 7 · OR 87

Newmarket · Irish Stallion Farms EBF 'Bosra Sham' Fillies' Stakes (Listed) · 6f

#13

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Took a significant step forward to get off the mark in 6f Salisbury novice in August. Progressed again with fifth of 11 in Dick Poole back there (6f, good to soft) next time and couldn't get involved from a poor draw at Goodwood last time. Remains one to view positively.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength19%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.1
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Bath 13/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 5f10y Goo 12813/0644 @ Newbury 02/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 6f GF 1282/0745 @ Salisbury 21/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 6f Goo 12821/0851 @ Salisbury 03/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 82 · 6f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 82 par3/091OR 822 @ Goodwood 23/09/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 88 · 7f Goo 127 · beat its mark23/09/2026 · OR 88 par23/092OR 88projClass-projected finish: 8th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-23GoodwoodLewis Edmunds214th15th−1
2026-09-03SalisburyColin Keane15th5th+0
2026-08-21SalisburyLewis Edmunds51st6th−4
2026-07-02NewburyLewis Edmunds410th14th−3
2026-06-13BathDarragh Keenan42nd6th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/062/0721/083/0923/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 2-13 · tight 33/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength37%

Delivery trend +2.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/06/20262nd17/255%75%+0.20
02/07/202610th14/126%25%-0.01
21/08/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
03/09/20265th28/10%60%+0.60
23/09/202614th25/10%0%0.00