Silesia

2yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 4 · OR 87

Newmarket · Irish Stallion Farms EBF 'Bosra Sham' Fillies' Stakes (Listed) · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE

▲ BEATS ITS MARK

Move▲2

Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class: 1

Recent avg: C3.1

Today: 1

Class gap: -2.3

Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Jockey	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-10-22	Southwell	K Stott	4	1st	5th	−3	5.2
2026-08-22	York	Shane Gray	1	5th	5th	0	5.0
2026-06-24	Carlisle	K Stott	4	2nd	6th	−3	4.2
2026-05-30	Beverley	K Stott	2	3rd	4th	−1	5.6
2026-05-04	Beverley	K Stott	4	2nd	6th	−3	4.2
2026-04-18	Thirsk	K Stott	4	3rd	7th	−3	3.2

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 68/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▲

Strength100%

Delivery trend +10.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
18/04/2026	3rd	11/4	86%	60%	-0.26
04/05/2026	2nd	11/8	93%	75%	-0.18
30/05/2026	3rd	6/1	68%	71%	+0.03
24/06/2026	2nd	8/11	96%	75%	-0.21
22/08/2026	5th	125/1	0%	60%	+0.60
22/10/2026	1st	11/10	94%	100%	+0.06