14

What A Girl Wants
2yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 3 · OR 77
Newmarket · Irish Stallion Farms EBF 'Bosra Sham' Fillies' Stakes (Listed) · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength31%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.9
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Ayr | Rowan Scott | 4 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-09-17 | Pontefract | Rowan Scott | 4 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-09-03 | Newcastle | Rowan Scott | 4 | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-08-13 | Beverley | S H James | 4 | 4th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-06-25 | Newmarket | D Egan | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Royal Ascot | Rowan Scott | 1 | 21th | 21th | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 9-13 · tight 75/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength6%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 04/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 19/06/2026 | 21st | 66/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 25/06/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 13/08/2026 | 4th | 5/6 | 96% | 40% | -0.56 |
| 03/09/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 17/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 29/09/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |