Royal Playwright
4yo Colt · 9-6 · Draw 6 · OR 106
Newmarket · St Simon Stakes (Group 3) · 1m 4f
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Ascot | Jason Watson | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Epsom Downs | S De Sousa | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Southwell | Jason Watson | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Newmarket | Rob Hornby | 1 | 5th | 5th | −0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Goodwood | Oisin Murphy | 2 | 1st | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-08-23 | Windsor | Rob Hornby | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 07/06/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 10/07/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 23/08/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 24/09/2025 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 01/11/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 56% | +0.13 |
| 28/11/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 03/10/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |