Berry Clever
5yo Gelding · 9-13 · Draw 13 · OR 74
Newmarket · Munich's Grosser Dallmayr-Preis Handicap · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
99%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Kempton | Harry Davies | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-24 | Newmarket | S De Sousa | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-11 | Doncaster | J Hamblett | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Windsor | Joe Leavy | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-12 | Kempton | S De Sousa | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Yarmouth | S De Sousa | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 64% | -0.18 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 12/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 70% | +0.12 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 11/09/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 24/09/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 09/10/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |