12
Born A Rebel
5yo Mare · 9-4 · Draw 8 · OR 65
Newmarket · Munich's Grosser Dallmayr-Preis Handicap · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | Newmarket | Jack Nicholls | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-24 | Newmarket | Benoit D L Sayette | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-09-17 | Yarmouth | Benoit D L Sayette | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Newmarket | Mason Paetel | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Newmarket | Benoit D L Sayette | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Newmarket | Arron D'Arcy | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 4-15 · tight 47/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength17%
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 12/06/2026 | 11th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 90% | +0.43 |
| 17/07/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 40% | -0.48 |
| 31/07/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |
| 06/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 17/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 85% | +0.32 |
| 24/09/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 18% | -0.29 |
| 22/10/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 42% | -0.11 |