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6

Devil's Brigade

3yo Gelding · 9-10 · Draw 2 · OR 74

Newmarket · Munich's Grosser Dallmayr-Preis Handicap · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced gelding who opened his account in 6-runner maiden at Pontefract (1m, good to soft) 43 days ago. Switches to handicaps now and may have more to offer.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength67%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 2.6)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Yarmouth 18/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f21y GS 13118/0955 @ Chelmsford City 16/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 1m2f Std 13316/1052 @ Chelmsford City 06/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS6/1124 @ Lingfield 25/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 74 · 1m2f Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/08/2026 · OR 74 par25/084OR 744 @ Pontefract 17/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 74 · 1m6y Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/09/2026 · OR 74 par17/094OR 74projClass-projected finish: 1st of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17PontefractRowan Scott41st0th+1
2026-08-25LingfieldBilly Loughnane42nd1st+1
2025-11-06Chelmsford CityMarco Ghiani22nd-2th+3
2025-10-16Chelmsford CityRossa Ryan53rd3rd0
2025-09-18YarmouthCharles Bishop55th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0916/106/1125/0817/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 3-15 · tight 38/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength46%

Delivery trend -10.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/09/20255th28/10%60%+0.60
16/10/20253rd11/142%60%+0.18
06/11/20252nd14/126%92%+0.66
25/08/20262nd15/890%83%-0.07
17/09/20261st7/282%100%+0.18