10
Ensor Mews
3yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 3 · OR 70
Newmarket · Munich's Grosser Dallmayr-Preis Handicap · 1m
#14
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength49%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Nottingham | H Crouch | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-09-29 | Wolverhampton | H Crouch | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-11-20 | Southwell | H Crouch | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 12-15 · tight 69/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 15th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/11/2025 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 56% | -0.34 |
| 29/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 78% | -0.09 |
| 14/10/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 38% | -0.40 |