2
Marsh Benham
7yo Gelding · 9-13 · Draw 1 · OR 74
Newmarket · Munich's Grosser Dallmayr-Preis Handicap · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength41%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | Leicester | S M Levey | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-10-09 | Kempton | P Cosgrave | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-28 | Brighton | P Cosgrave | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-14 | Windsor | Billy Loughnane | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-10 | Epsom Downs | Jack Callan | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Brighton | Benoit D L Sayette | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 3-15 · tight 40/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength3%
Delivery trend -7.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 13th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 83% | +0.78 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 21/08/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 23/08/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 25% | -0.59 |
| 10/09/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 14/09/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 45% | -0.31 |
| 28/09/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 56% | +0.00 |
| 09/10/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 26/10/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 11% | -0.49 |