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5

Sail On Sailor

3yo Gelding · 9-11 · Draw 10 · OR 75

Newmarket · Munich's Grosser Dallmayr-Preis Handicap · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Back on the up in no uncertain terms when winning 10-runner handicap at Kempton (1m) 25 days ago, forging clear. 10lb higher now but is not taken lightly.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength37%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Kempton 30/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 55 · 7f Sta 130 · beat its mark30/03/2026 · OR 55 par30/036OR 556 @ Lingfield 14/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 55 · 1m1y Std 130 · beat its mark14/04/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Bath 04/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 55 · 1m Gd 135 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 55 par4/056OR 556 @ Lingfield 04/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 58 · 1m1y Std 134 · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Epsom Downs 09/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 63 · 1m2f17y GF 133 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 63 par9/076OR 635 @ Sandown 23/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 66 · 1m Goo 131 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 66 par4 @ Epsom Downs 31/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 66 · 1m2f17y GS 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 66 par31/084OR 665 @ Epsom Downs 10/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 66 · 1m113y Goo 126 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 66 par5 @ Kempton 05/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 65 · 1m Sta 130 · beat its mark05/10/2026 · OR 65 par5/105OR 65projClass-projected finish: 4th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-05KemptonBenoit D L Sayette51st1st0
2026-09-10Epsom DownsHarry Davies57th7th0
2026-08-31Epsom DownsJoe Leavy46th5th+1
2026-07-23SandownRossa Ryan55th5th0
2026-07-09Epsom DownsPaddy Bradley61st2nd−1
2026-06-04LingfieldPaddy Bradley61st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/034/0631/085/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 3-14 · tight 47/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength47%

Delivery trend -3.5% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/03/20262nd22/10%83%+0.83
14/04/20263rd3/184%82%-0.02
04/05/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
04/06/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
09/07/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
23/07/20265th5/287%64%-0.23
31/08/20266th9/153%38%-0.15
10/09/20267th14/126%33%+0.07
05/10/20261st10/147%100%+0.53