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9

You Sexy Thing

3yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 14 · OR 71

Newmarket · Munich's Grosser Dallmayr-Preis Handicap · 1m

#12

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sole success came at Sandown in August of last year but has largely performed well in this campaign, latest when fifth of 18 in handicap at Doncaster (1¼m, heavy, 11/1) 7 days ago, racing closer to pace than ideal. Ought to go well again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength59%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Haydock 19/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 6f212y Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS19/0734 @ Newmarket 09/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 72 · 7f GF 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/08/2025 · OR 72 par4 @ Sandown 30/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 71 · 7f Sft 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/08/2025 · OR 71 par30/084OR 713 @ Doncaster 11/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 75 · 7f6y Goo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/09/2025 · OR 75 par2 @ Newmarket 04/10/2025 · Pos 25th of 26 · OR 75 · 7f Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 75 par4/102OR 755 @ Newbury 11/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 74 · 1m GS 134 · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 74 par4 @ Ascot 04/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 73 · 7f Goo 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/09/2026 · OR 73 par4/094OR 735 @ Ayr 17/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 72 · 1m Sft 133 · beat its mark17/09/2026 · OR 72 par5 @ Doncaster 23/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 18 · OR 71 · 1m2f43y Hvy 132 · beat its mark23/10/2026 · OR 71 par23/105OR 71projClass-projected finish: 5th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-23DoncasterSaffie Osborne55th5th0
2026-09-17AyrSaffie Osborne54th4th0
2026-09-04AscotSaffie Osborne44th3rd+1
2026-06-11NewburySaffie Osborne56th6th0
2025-10-04NewmarketW Buick225th21th+3
2025-09-11DoncasterSaffie Osborne33rd1st+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0711/094/0923/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 57/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength81%

Delivery trend +0.7% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/07/20255th10/147%33%-0.14
09/08/20256th12/137%17%-0.20
30/08/20251st9/153%100%+0.47
11/09/20253rd25/10%75%+0.75
04/10/202525th40/10%4%+0.04
11/06/20266th8/158%44%-0.13
04/09/20264th15/261%57%-0.03
17/09/20264th10/382%75%-0.07
23/10/20265th11/142%76%+0.34