2

Carbine Country

2yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 6

Newmarket · Westminster-137 Grosser Preis Von Berlin Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

11/10

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed plenty amid greenness when 5 lengths fifth in a valuable sales race at this course (7f) on debut earlier this month. Looks sure to progress for a top yard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength34%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Newmarket 03/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 7f GF 125 · HIGHER CLASS3/102
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-03NewmarketRossa Ryan25th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/10/20265th25/10%71%+0.71