10
Church Wedding
3yo Filly · 9-7 · Draw 11 · OR 67
Newmarket · German G1 Racecourses Thank World Pool Handicap · 1m 1f
#6
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength79%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Southwell | Rhys Clutterbuck | 3 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-08-05 | Kempton | Rossa Ryan | 3 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-01-14 | Kempton | Edward Greatrex | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 62/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +15.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/01/2026 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 83% | -0.11 |
| 05/08/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 26/09/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |