8

City Of God

4yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 1 · OR 65

Newmarket · German G1 Racecourses Thank World Pool Handicap · 1m 1f

#13

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★ Timeform

Commentary

Twice a winner on all-weather for Karl Burke but yet to fire in 6 starts for current yard, latest when seventh at Southwell earlier this month. Hard to fancy.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength54%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Musselburgh 07/06/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 81 · 1m208y Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/06/2025 · OR 81 par7/062OR 814 @ Wolverhampton 30/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 80 · 1m142y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/01/2026 · OR 80 par4 @ Chelmsford City 26/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 78 · 1m Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/02/2026 · OR 78 par26/024OR 784 @ Kempton 06/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 79 · 1m Sta 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/04/2026 · OR 79 par4 @ Wolverhampton 27/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 77 · 1m1f104y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/04/2026 · OR 77 par27/044OR 774 @ Goodwood 05/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 76 · 1m GS 136 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 76 par5 @ Lingfield 13/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 73 · 1m2f1y Std 141 · below its mark13/08/2026 · OR 73 par13/085OR 735 @ Salisbury 03/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 70 · 1m Goo 140 · below its mark03/09/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Southwell 10/10/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 68 · 1m13y Std 133 · beat its mark10/10/2026 · OR 68 par10/105OR 68projClass-projected finish: 14th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-10SouthwellJack Callan57th7th0
2026-09-03SalisburyJames Glennon58th8th0
2026-08-13LingfieldFinley Marsh58th8th0
2026-06-05GoodwoodJames Glennon45th4th+1
2026-04-27WolverhamptonKieren Fox48th7th+1
2026-04-06KemptonKieren Fox45th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/066/0413/0810/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 1-14 · tight 24/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength42%

Delivery trend +8.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/06/20258th6/168%0%-0.68
30/01/20268th9/276%13%-0.64
26/02/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
06/04/20265th22/10%50%+0.50
27/04/20268th33/10%13%+0.13
05/06/20265th22/10%50%+0.50
13/08/20268th33/10%0%0.00
03/09/20268th12/137%0%-0.37
10/10/20267th40/10%45%+0.45