9

Golden Circet

6yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 5 · OR 64

Newmarket · German G1 Racecourses Thank World Pool Handicap · 1m 1f

#10

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fourteen runs since last win in 2025 but has tumbled down the weights and wasn't knocked about when respectable fifth of 10 in handicap at Kempton (1½m) 25 days ago. Worth monitoring in the market.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength46%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Lingfield 20/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 75 · 1m2f1y Std 135 · beat its mark20/04/2026 · OR 75 par20/045OR 755 @ Brighton 29/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 74 · 1m3f198y Goo 134 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 74 par5 @ Uttoxeter 15/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 91 · 1m7f168y Gd 163 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 91 par15/075OR 915 @ Epsom Downs 30/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 73 · 1m2f17y GF 136 · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 73 par5 @ Windsor 10/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 72 · 1m2f GF 136 · below its mark10/08/2026 · OR 72 par10/085OR 724 @ Sandown 28/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 70 · 1m1f209y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/08/2026 · OR 70 par4 @ Windsor 07/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 68 · 1m31y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 68 par7/094OR 684 @ Kempton 23/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 67 · 1m2f219y Sta 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/09/2026 · OR 67 par6 @ Kempton 05/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 65 · 1m3f219y Sta 135 · beat its mark05/10/2026 · OR 65 par5/106OR 65projClass-projected finish: 11th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-05KemptonFinley Marsh65th6th−1
2026-09-23KemptonFinley Marsh48th7th+1
2026-09-07WindsorFinley Marsh48th7th+1
2026-08-28SandownT P Queally46th5th+1
2026-08-10WindsorLiam Wright55th5th0
2026-07-30Epsom DownsWarren Fentiman54th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0430/077/095/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 8-14 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength22%

Delivery trend +1.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/04/20265th11/142%50%+0.08
29/05/20264th5/174%50%-0.24
15/07/20262nd3/184%91%+0.07
30/07/20264th9/276%40%-0.36
10/08/20265th12/137%20%-0.17
28/08/20266th33/10%29%+0.29
07/09/20268th66/10%13%+0.13
23/09/20268th25/10%0%0.00
05/10/20265th8/158%56%-0.02