
Golden Circet
6yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 5 · OR 64
Newmarket · German G1 Racecourses Thank World Pool Handicap · 1m 1f
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Kempton | Finley Marsh | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-09-23 | Kempton | Finley Marsh | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-09-07 | Windsor | Finley Marsh | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-08-28 | Sandown | T P Queally | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-10 | Windsor | Liam Wright | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Epsom Downs | Warren Fentiman | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 29/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 91% | +0.07 |
| 30/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 10/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 28/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 07/09/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 23/09/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/10/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 56% | -0.02 |