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11

India Gold

3yo Filly · 9-5 · Draw 14 · OR 65

Newmarket · German G1 Racecourses Thank World Pool Handicap · 1m 1f

#7

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Turf maiden winner on soft last back-end and bettered that form when second of 14 at Bath (1m, good) in June. Nowhere near that level in either start since, though, and is now tried in cheekpieces.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength31%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Ripon 25/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 6f Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS25/0845 @ Wolverhampton 16/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 6f20y Std 1265 @ Southwell 24/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 59 · 1m13y Std 126 · beat its mark24/10/2025 · OR 59 par24/105OR 592 @ Musselburgh 05/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 58 · 7f15y Sft 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/11/2025 · OR 58 par5 @ Southwell 19/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 68 · 1m13y Std 134 · beat its mark19/12/2025 · OR 68 par19/125OR 685 @ Newmarket 15/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 68 · 1m Gd 129 · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 68 par6 @ Bath 13/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 65 · 1m Gd 135 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 65 par13/066OR 655 @ Wolverhampton 31/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 67 · 1m142y Std 128 · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 67 par6 @ Yarmouth 20/10/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR 65 · 1m2f23y Sft 136 · below its mark20/10/2026 · OR 65 par20/106OR 65projClass-projected finish: 12th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-20YarmouthSaffie Osborne613th14th−1
2026-07-31WolverhamptonTyler Heard57th7th0
2026-06-13BathTyler Heard62nd3rd−1
2026-05-15NewmarketSaffie Osborne59th9th0
2025-12-19SouthwellL Morris56th6th0
2025-11-05MusselburghShane Gray21st-3th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/085/1113/0620/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 4-14 · tight 48/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength19%

Delivery trend -1.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/08/20254th13/266%63%-0.03
16/09/20254th9/153%57%+0.05
24/10/20253rd18/15%85%+0.79
05/11/20251st40/10%100%+1.00
19/12/20256th13/266%38%-0.28
15/05/20269th22/10%33%+0.33
13/06/20262nd14/126%92%+0.66
31/07/20267th20/10%25%+0.25
20/10/202613th12/137%14%-0.23