3
Solanna
7yo Gelding · 9-12 · Draw 3 · OR 68
Newmarket · German G1 Racecourses Thank World Pool Handicap · 1m 1f
#3
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
22%
Place Prob
24%
Rank
#3
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Haydock | Harry Vigors | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Yarmouth | Daniel Muscutt | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Kempton | Billy Loughnane | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Ffos Las | Billy Loughnane | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Yarmouth | H Crouch | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Nottingham | D Egan | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 9-14 · tight 73/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength7%
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 18/03/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 02/04/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 63% | -0.27 |
| 26/04/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 20/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 23/06/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 12/08/2026 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 44% | -0.45 |
| 30/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 25/09/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |