2
Uncaptured Star
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 2 · OR 83
Penn National · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/4
Win Prob
82%
Place Prob
64%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Penn National | Angel Cruz | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Penn National | Wilfredo Corujo | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Penn National | Wilfredo Corujo | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Penn National | Leonardo Corujo | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Penn National | Yabriel Ramos | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Penn National | Angel Cruz | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 57/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength58%
Delivery trend -5.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 24/05/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 88% | +0.35 |
| 20/03/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 09/04/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 11/06/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |
| 02/07/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 17% | -0.60 |
| 03/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 15/10/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |