2
Didn't It Rain
4yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 2
Penn National · Race 2 - Ratings Handicap · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
99%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Penn National | Angel Cruz | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Penn National | Martin Chuan | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Penn National | Ricardo Chiappe | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Penn National | Angel Cruz | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Penn National | Angel Rodriguez | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Penn National | Adam Bowman | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 37/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength49%
Delivery trend -8.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 08/08/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 08/10/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 88% | -0.05 |
| 03/04/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 02/05/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 04/06/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 12/08/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 15/10/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |