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3yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 3

Penn National · Race 2 - Ratings Handicap · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Delaware Park 11/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 60 · 1m 117 · beat its mark11/10/2025 · OR 60 par11/10C5OR 60C0 @ Laurel Park 15/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 70 · 1m1f 118 · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 70 par15/05C?OR 70C1 @ Delaware Park 13/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 71 · 1m110y 118 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 71 par13/06C1OR 71C5 @ Charles Town 09/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 72 · 7f 117 · below its mark09/08/2026 · OR 72 par9/08C5OR 72projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-09Charles TownSunday Jr Diaz?5th5th0
2026-06-13Delaware ParkMychel Sanchez?7th7th0
2026-05-15Laurel ParkMychel Sanchez?9th9th0
2025-10-11Delaware ParkSonny Leon?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/1015/0513/069/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 4-6 · tight 67/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -31.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/10/20256th40/10%38%+0.38
15/05/20269th40/10%0%0.00
13/06/20267th50/10%0%0.00
09/08/20265th9/488%20%-0.68