4
Penn Franklin
4yo Colt · 8-13 · Draw 4 · OR 73
Penn National · Race 3 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
58%
Place Prob
38%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Penn National | Ricardo Chiappe | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Penn National | Yabriel Ramos | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Penn National | Edwin Gonzalez | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 77/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +50.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 0% | -0.89 |
| 02/09/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |
| 09/10/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |