5
Unbridled Justice
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 5 · OR 77
Penn National · Race 3 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
1/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Delaware Park | Paco Lopez | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Laurel Park | Jaime Rodriguez | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Delaware Park | Jaime Rodriguez | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-24 | Delaware Park | Wesley Ho | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 52/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +13.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 25% | -0.59 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 19/09/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 30/09/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |