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4

Katischuo

4yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 4 · OR 55

Penn National · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

9%

Place Prob

23%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼2
Strength74%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Penn National 06/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 68 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark06/11/2025 · OR 68 par6/11C9OR 68C9 @ Penn National 13/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 62 · 1m110y 124 · beat its mark13/12/2025 · OR 62 parC6 @ Penn National 21/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 61 · 6f Slo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/02/2026 · OR 61 par21/02C6OR 61C9 @ Penn National 19/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 62 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark19/03/2026 · OR 62 parC6 @ Penn National 03/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 65 · 1m Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/04/2026 · OR 65 par3/04C6OR 65C6 @ Penn National 16/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 63 · 1m110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/04/2026 · OR 63 parC6 @ Penn National 14/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 60 · 6f Fas 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 60 par14/08C6OR 60C9 @ Penn National 27/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 57 · 6f 125 · below its mark27/08/2026 · OR 57 parC6 @ Penn National 09/10/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 56 · 1m 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/10/2026 · OR 56 par9/10C6OR 56projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-09Penn NationalEmilio Flores?4th1st+3
2026-08-27Penn NationalEmilio Flores?4th4th0
2026-08-14Penn NationalEmilio Flores?6th3rd+3
2026-04-16Penn NationalWilfredo Corujo?2nd-1th+3
2026-04-03Penn NationalWilfredo Corujo?3rd0th+3
2026-03-19Penn NationalEmilio Flores?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/1119/0314/089/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 52/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength52%

Delivery trend -3.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/11/20256th8/158%29%-0.29
13/12/20252nd4/179%80%+0.01
21/02/20263rd20/10%67%+0.67
19/03/20263rd10/147%71%+0.24
03/04/20263rd8/158%33%-0.25
16/04/20262nd5/174%67%-0.07
14/08/20266th16/116%0%-0.16
27/08/20264th14/126%40%+0.14
09/10/20264th12/137%0%-0.37