6

Sense Of Wonder

4yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 6 · OR 50

Penn National · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼2
Strength80%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: +1.9
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Hialeah Park 19/02/2016 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 0m0f110y 126 · HIGHER CLASS19/02C8C6 @ Penn National 23/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 6f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS23/04C6C6 @ Penn National 09/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 84 · 5f110y Slo 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/05/2025 · OR 84 par9/05C6OR 84C6 @ Penn National 29/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 74 · 6f Gd 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/05/2025 · OR 74 par29/05C6OR 74projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2025-05-29Penn NationalJulio Hernandez?5th2nd+3
2025-05-09Penn NationalAngel Rodriguez?4th1st+3
2025-04-23Penn NationalAngel Rodriguez?3rd0th+3
2016-02-19Hialeah ParkEdwuin Lujan?5th4th+1
2016-01-15Hialeah ParkOsdany Leal?+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0223/049/0529/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 5-6 · tight 75/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -26.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/02/20165th12/137%33%-0.04
23/04/20253rd13/266%75%+0.09
09/05/20254th1/195%50%-0.45
29/05/20255th5/174%0%-0.74