4
American Select
4yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 4 · OR 83
Penn National · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Delaware Park | Emanuel Rosario | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Delaware Park | Emanuel Rosario | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Delaware Park | Emanuel Rosario | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Delaware Park | Mychel Sanchez | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-05-08 | Laurel Park | Yedsit Hazlewood | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Keeneland | James Graham | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 70/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength76%
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 19/02/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 09/03/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 19/04/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 08/05/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 28/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 25/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 08/10/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 55% | +0.39 |